Indicator Terminal View
Integrated Brief
As of 2026-08-01, the Federal Budget Balance (Monthly Surplus or Deficit) stood at -$166.8B, up $265.5B from the prior reading, at the 52nd percentile of the past 5 years. The Monthly Treasury Statement bottom line. The sign is the source's: a NEGATIVE value is a deficit, a positive one a surplus. Single months say very little on their own, because the series is dominated by calendar effects — April usually posts a surplus on tax receipts, and a month whose first day falls on a weekend pulls benefit payments forward into the month before. Read the 12-month rolling sum, or compare a month with the same month a year earlier. Released about eight business days after month end.
Core Print
Current Interpretation
Budget Balance read -$166.8B on 2026-08-01 (+$265.5B vs prior reading). Based on its standardized historical distribution (z-score), current positioning reflects a "neutral range". Check related plumbing indicators to evaluate broader systemic conditions.
Source: FRED · MTSDS133FMS. Refreshed every 6 hours and free to access via the JSON API.
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Budget Balance is shown for context and does not enter the DLI score.
Read the full guide to Budget Balance: what it measures, how to read it, and the common mistakes.