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Home/Glossary/Percentile

Definition

Percentile

Shows where the current reading stands within a historical distribution window (e.g., 5 years).

If an indicator is at the 85th percentile, the current reading is higher than 85% of all readings in the lookback window. Percentiles provide intuitive context: "Is this value normal, elevated, or extreme?" For "higher_worse" indicators (like VIX or TGA), a high percentile means tight conditions. For "lower_worse" indicators (like Fed Balance Sheet), a low percentile means tight conditions.

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